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SPORTSBOOK INTELLIGENCE
Understand sportsbook pricing, market movement, and the information behind the line.
MKT
BUF -2.5
OPEN
-3.0
NOVA
-1.4
GRADE
A-
MKT
CHI -3.5
OPEN
-3.0
NOVA
-2.8
GRADE
B+
MKT
LAC -1.0
OPEN
-2.5
NOVA
-1.2
GRADE
C
MKT
BUF -6.5
OPEN
-7.0
NOVA
-5.8
GRADE
B
THE INSIDER SYSTEM
PRICE
What is the sportsbook asking you to pay?
MOVEMENT
How has that price changed?
POSITIONING
What market and public information is available?
MATCHUP
What does the sporting matchup indicate?
PERSONNEL
Who materially changes the matchup?
ENVIRONMENT
Weather, travel, rest, and venue.
SITUATION
Scheduling and contextual factors.
BOOK READ
What is the market structure communicating?
EXPRESSION
Which market best expresses the thesis?
MARKETNOVA LANGUAGE
NOVA LINE
MarketNova's fair-price assessment. Not a prediction — a structural read of where the number should sit.
BOOK READ
Interpretation of sportsbook pricing. Favorite premium, dog support, key-number resistance, total pressure, or market agreement.
NOVA EDGE
The difference between MarketNova's assessment and the available price. Quantified, not invented.
MARKET PRESSURE
Interpretation of meaningful movement and positioning. Where is money flowing and why?
BUY TO
The maximum acceptable price for an active thesis. Beyond it, the edge expires.
NOVA GRADE
A through F. Quality of the opportunity — not probability of winning.
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